La scuola delle quote

Santos v UCV FC

2026-07-29 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

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28 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos (Casa)

Previsione 74.92%1.33quota equa
EV -4.85%
Vantaggio -3.82%
Kelly -17.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.72%74.80%74.93%79.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.231.241.2783.33%81.11%80.65%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

UCV FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.98%11.13quota equa
EV +34.77%
Vantaggio +2.32%
Kelly +2.48%
Crescita +0.863%

ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.52%8.82%9.04%11.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.9411.2515.0012.50%9.14%8.89%6.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.09%6.21quota equa
EV +13.12%
Vantaggio +1.87%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescita +0.286%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.92%16.38%16.03%18.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.665.677.0320.00%17.66%17.62%14.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 79.56%EV -7.84%E -6.38%K -34.10%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.52%EV +34.77%E +2.32%K +2.48%G +0.863%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.92%EV +13.12%E +1.87%K +2.18%G +0.286%2.2%2026-07-26 02:45
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -4.85%E -3.82%K -17.95%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV +12.31%E +0.984%K +1.07%G +0.132%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.12%EV -3.45%E -0.575%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.67%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.67%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:05
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.67%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:04
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.67%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:15
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.54%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 06:44
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.54%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 06:44
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.54%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 06:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +7.81%E +0.651%K +0.710%G +0.055%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.54%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 06:44
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.32%E +0.289%K +0.316%G +0.011%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.89%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.32%E +0.289%K +0.316%G +0.011%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.89%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.32%E +0.289%K +0.316%G +0.011%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.89%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.32%E +0.289%K +0.316%G +0.011%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.89%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.17%E -0.106%K -0.117%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.45%E -0.575%K -0.691%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:59
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -1.17%E -0.106%K -0.117%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -13.11%E -2.43%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 04:29
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -5.66%E -0.539%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:33
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 75.03%EV -7.84%E -6.38%K -34.10%G +0.000%10.06I 9.94%NM 9.17%EV -9.62%E -0.956%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 15.80%EV -6.03%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -10.16%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.45%E -0.575%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:35
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -10.16%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.45%E -0.575%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:33
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.84%E -6.38%K -34.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -10.16%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.45%E -0.575%K -0.691%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 06:48
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -10.16%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -9.89%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 06:44
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.06%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.45%E -0.575%K -0.691%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 16:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -14.65%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.50%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:53
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -14.65%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -3.45%E -0.575%K -0.691%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.07%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.74%EV -19.14%E -2.13%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -17.93%E -3.52%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 06:40
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -23.63%E -2.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.50%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 00:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -6.34%E -5.08%K -25.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -28.12%E -3.52%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.52%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 08:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.37%ATG (SE) 1.27 (79.0%) / 1xBet 15.00 (6.7%) / 1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)Mostra dettagli
Santos (Casa)UCV FC (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
ATG (SE) 1.27 (79.0%)1xBet 15.00 (6.7%)1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)+0.370%