預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Santos v UCV FC

開賽時間: 2026-07-29 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Santos 4–2 UCV FC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Santos (主隊)

預測 78.28%1.28公平賠率
EV -2.15%
優勢 -1.72%
Kelly -8.59%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.25

博彩公司預測分布
75.00%78.19%78.28%79.07%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.141.201.201.2587.72%83.51%83.33%80.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

UCV FC (客隊)

預測 7.09%14.10公平賠率
EV +2.86%
優勢 +0.197%
Kelly +0.212%
成長率 +0.006%

假設最高賠率為 14.50

博彩公司預測分布
6.38%7.13%7.17%10.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0012.2912.5014.5011.11%8.14%8.00%6.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 14.62%6.84公平賠率
EV +3.10%
優勢 +0.440%
Kelly +0.513%
成長率 +0.016%

假設最高賠率為 7.05

博彩公司預測分布
13.53%14.67%14.55%17.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.406.146.107.0518.52%16.28%16.39%14.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Santos (主隊):78.28%;UCV FC (客隊):7.09%;和局:14.62%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於6.84的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.05,對應+3.10%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -18.42%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.53%EV +3.10%E +0.440%K +0.513%G +0.016%4.8%2026-07-29 00:18
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -29.06%E -2.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -1.29%E -0.191%K -0.224%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.07%EV -7.63%E -6.46%K -42.37%G +0.000%13.73I 7.28%NM 6.80%EV -2.60%E -0.190%K -0.205%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.14%EV -3.48%E -0.527%K -0.621%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -7.78%E -0.599%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.94%E -0.760%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.02%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.688%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.94%E -0.760%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 00:14
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.33%E -0.906%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -4.94%E -0.760%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -14.88%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -6.41%E -1.00%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 00:04
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.87%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.44%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.17%EV -6.01%E -0.453%K -0.491%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.96%EV -7.14%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.15%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV -7.78%E -0.599%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -8.60%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 00:09
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.41%E -7.19%K -49.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -7.78%E -0.599%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -8.60%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 00:04
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.44%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -11.33%E -0.906%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -10.79%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.44%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -11.33%E -0.906%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -10.79%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 00:09
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.44%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -11.33%E -0.906%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -10.79%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.44%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -11.33%E -0.906%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -10.79%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.86%EV -9.98%E -8.67%K -66.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -14.88%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-29 00:05
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -7.78%E -0.599%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -12.25%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 00:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -7.78%E -0.599%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -12.25%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 00:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -7.78%E -0.599%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -12.25%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -7.78%E -0.599%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -12.25%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 00:24
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -29.06%E -2.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.25%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 22:15
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -36.16%E -4.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.25%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.76%E -9.44%K -76.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -14.88%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -12.25%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-29 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.82%EV -7.63%E -6.46%K -42.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -14.88%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -15.18%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.82%EV -7.63%E -6.46%K -42.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -14.88%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -15.18%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 00:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.82%EV -7.63%E -6.46%K -42.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -14.88%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -15.18%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.82%EV -7.63%E -6.46%K -42.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -14.88%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -15.18%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 00:09
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -8.41%E -7.19%K -49.47%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -25.52%E -2.43%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -15.91%E -2.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-29 00:19
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.48%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.14%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.38%EV +2.86%E +0.197%K +0.212%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -21.03%E -3.89%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 00:19
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.45%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.70%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.85%0.2%2026-07-29 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.31%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-07-29 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.17%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%0.6%2026-07-29 00:05
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.44%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.82%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74%1.1%2026-07-29 00:25