L’École des cotes

Santos v UCV FC

2026-07-29 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santos (Local)

Prévision 74.87%1.34cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -3.87%
Kelly -18.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.72%74.75%74.93%79.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.231.241.2783.33%81.00%80.65%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UCV FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.01%11.10cote équitable
EV +35.19%
Avantage +2.35%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.885%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.52%8.86%9.04%11.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.9311.2515.0012.50%9.15%8.89%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.11%6.21cote équitable
EV +13.27%
Avantage +1.89%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.292%

avec la cote maximale 7.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.92%16.39%16.03%18.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.955.655.677.0320.20%17.71%17.62%14.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 79.56%EV -7.90%E -6.43%K -34.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.52%EV +35.19%E +2.35%K +2.51%G +0.885%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.92%EV +13.27%E +1.89%K +2.20%G +0.292%2.2%2026-07-26 02:45
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.18%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV +12.66%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.139%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.12%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:05
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:04
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:15
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:44
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:44
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:44
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.859%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:59
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -0.859%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -20.24%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:44
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -5.37%E -0.511%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:33
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 75.03%EV -7.90%E -6.43%K -34.37%G +0.000%10.06I 9.94%NM 9.17%EV -9.33%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 15.80%EV -5.90%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.87%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:35
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.87%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:33
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.87%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:47
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.44%EV -11.67%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:20
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.42%EV -12.12%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 16:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -14.38%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:53
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -14.38%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.90%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.94%EV -20.69%E -2.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -17.82%E -3.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 15:20
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -23.39%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 00:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -27.90%E -3.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.41%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 08:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Arbitrage (2 combinaisons) +0.37%NordicBet 1.27 (79.0%) / 1xBet 15.00 (6.7%) / 1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)Afficher les 2 combinaisons
Santos (Local)UCV FC (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
ATG (SE) 1.27 (79.0%)1xBet 15.00 (6.7%)1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)+0.370%
NordicBet 1.27 (79.0%)1xBet 15.00 (6.7%)1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)+0.370%