A Escola das Odds

Santos v UCV FC

2026-07-29 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Frente a frente

28 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Santos (Local)

Previsão 74.87%1.34odd justa
EV -4.91%
Vantagem -3.87%
Kelly -18.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.72%74.75%74.93%79.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.231.241.2783.33%81.00%80.65%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

UCV FC (Visitante)

Previsão 9.01%11.10odd justa
EV +35.19%
Vantagem +2.35%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.885%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.52%8.86%9.04%11.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.0010.9311.2515.0012.50%9.15%8.89%6.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 16.11%6.21odd justa
EV +13.27%
Vantagem +1.89%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescimento +0.292%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.92%16.39%16.03%18.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.955.655.677.0320.20%17.71%17.62%14.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (28 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 79.56%EV -7.90%E -6.43%K -34.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.52%EV +35.19%E +2.35%K +2.51%G +0.885%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.92%EV +13.27%E +1.89%K +2.20%G +0.292%2.2%2026-07-26 02:45
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.18%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV +12.66%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.139%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.12%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:05
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:04
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.92%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:15
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:44
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:44
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +8.15%E +0.679%K +0.741%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -19.43%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:44
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +3.65%E +0.317%K +0.347%G +0.013%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:05
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.859%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:59
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -0.859%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -20.24%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:44
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -5.37%E -0.511%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:33
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 75.03%EV -7.90%E -6.43%K -34.37%G +0.000%10.06I 9.94%NM 9.17%EV -9.33%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 15.80%EV -5.90%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.87%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:35
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.87%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:33
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.87%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:47
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.44%EV -11.67%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:20
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.42%EV -12.12%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 16:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -14.38%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:53
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -14.38%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.90%EV -10.15%E -8.46%K -50.75%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.94%EV -20.69%E -2.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -17.82%E -3.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 15:20
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -23.39%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 00:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -27.90%E -3.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -15.41%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 08:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Arbitragem (2 combinações) +0.37%NordicBet 1.27 (79.0%) / 1xBet 15.00 (6.7%) / 1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)Mostrar as 2 combinações
Santos (Local)UCV FC (Visitante)EmpateMargem
ATG (SE) 1.27 (79.0%)1xBet 15.00 (6.7%)1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)+0.370%
NordicBet 1.27 (79.0%)1xBet 15.00 (6.7%)1xBet 7.03 (14.3%)+0.370%