Language:English
Sporting Cristal v Carabobo FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Cristal (Local)
Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.63%47.93%47.79%51.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.921.922.0555.87%52.03%52.08%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carabobo FC (Visit)
Prediction 22.52%4.44fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.173%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.94%22.39%22.51%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.194.154.8026.67%23.85%24.10%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.72%3.37fair odd
EV +2.82%
Edge +0.814%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.69%29.70%31.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.153.4635.71%32.00%31.75%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Cristal (Local): 47.76%; Carabobo FC (Visit): 22.52%; Draw: 29.72%. For Carabobo FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004% | 2.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004% | 2.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.61%E +0.784%K +1.00%G +0.036% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.66%EV -1.12%E -0.256%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.81%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 21:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.15%E -0.733%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -6.69%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.28%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.29%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.63%EV -11.26%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV +2.82%E +0.814%K +1.15%G +0.032% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.99%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.58%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.16%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 22.81%EV -14.86%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.03%EV -11.74%E -3.95%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-11 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -16.80%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |