La scuola delle quote

Sporting Cristal v Carabobo FC

Inizio: 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sporting Cristal (Casa)

Previsione 47.76%2.09quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.63%47.93%47.79%51.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.921.922.0555.87%52.03%52.08%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carabobo FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.52%4.44quota equa
EV +8.11%
Vantaggio +1.69%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescita +0.173%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.94%22.39%22.51%24.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.194.154.8026.67%23.85%24.10%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.72%3.37quota equa
EV +2.82%
Vantaggio +0.814%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.04%29.69%29.70%31.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.123.153.4635.71%32.00%31.75%28.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004%2.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004%2.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.61%E +0.784%K +1.00%G +0.036%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 21:05
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 17:15
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 20:10
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.66%EV -1.12%E -0.256%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.81%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:31
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 21:35
Suprabets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.15%E -0.733%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -6.69%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 21:35
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.28%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.29%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 21:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 21:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 21:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 21:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 21:54
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.63%EV -11.26%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV +2.82%E +0.814%K +1.15%G +0.032%3.1%2026-03-11 21:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 21:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 21:35
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.99%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.58%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-11 21:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-11 21:35
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.16%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.81%EV -14.86%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.03%EV -11.74%E -3.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-11 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -16.80%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-11 21:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.5%2026-03-11 21:50