Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Cristal v Carabobo FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Cristal (Local)

Prévision 47.76%2.09cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.63%47.93%47.79%51.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.791.921.922.0555.87%52.03%52.08%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Carabobo FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.52%4.44cote équitable
EV +8.11%
Avantage +1.69%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.173%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.94%22.39%22.51%24.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.194.154.8026.67%23.85%24.10%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.72%3.37cote équitable
EV +2.82%
Avantage +0.814%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%29.69%29.70%31.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.153.4635.71%32.00%31.75%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sporting Cristal (Local) : 47.76% ; Carabobo FC (Visiteur) : 22.52% ; Match nul : 29.72%. Pour Carabobo FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.44. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.80, soit une espérance positive de +8.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004%2.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004%2.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.61%E +0.784%K +1.00%G +0.036%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.66%EV -1.12%E -0.256%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.81%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:31
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 21:35
Suprabets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.15%E -0.733%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -6.69%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.28%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.29%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 21:50
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:30
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 21:54
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.63%EV -11.26%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV +2.82%E +0.814%K +1.15%G +0.032%3.1%2026-03-11 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.99%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.58%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-11 21:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-11 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.16%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.81%EV -14.86%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.03%EV -11.74%E -3.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-11 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -16.80%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-11 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.5%2026-03-11 21:50