مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sporting Cristal v Carabobo FC

البداية: 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sporting Cristal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.76%2.09السعر العادل
EV -2.09%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -1.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.63%47.93%47.79%51.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.921.922.0555.87%52.03%52.08%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Carabobo FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.52%4.44السعر العادل
EV +8.11%
الأفضلية +1.69%
Kelly +2.13%
النمو +0.173%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.94%22.39%22.51%24.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.194.154.8026.67%23.85%24.10%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.72%3.37السعر العادل
EV +2.82%
الأفضلية +0.814%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.032%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.04%29.69%29.70%31.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.123.153.4635.71%32.00%31.75%28.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004%2.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004%2.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 21:05
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.61%E +0.784%K +1.00%G +0.036%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 21:05
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 17:15
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 20:10
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.66%EV -1.12%E -0.256%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.81%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:31
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 21:35
Suprabets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.15%E -0.733%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -6.69%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 21:35
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.28%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.29%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 21:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 21:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 21:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 21:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 21:54
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 21:50
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.63%EV -11.26%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV +2.82%E +0.814%K +1.15%G +0.032%3.1%2026-03-11 21:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 21:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 21:35
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.99%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.58%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-11 21:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-11 21:35
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.16%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.81%EV -14.86%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.03%EV -11.74%E -3.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-11 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -16.80%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-11 21:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-11 21:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.5%2026-03-11 21:50