La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sporting Cristal v Carabobo FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Cristal (Local)
Predicción 47.76%2.09momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.63%47.93%47.79%51.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.921.922.0555.87%52.03%52.08%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Carabobo FC (Visitante)
Predicción 22.52%4.44momio equitativo
EV +8.11%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.173%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.94%22.39%22.51%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.154.8026.67%23.85%24.10%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.72%3.37momio equitativo
EV +2.82%
Ventaja +0.814%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.69%29.70%31.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.4635.71%32.00%31.75%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004% | 2.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +8.11%E +1.69%K +2.13%G +0.173% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%EV +1.03%E +0.304%K +0.431%G +0.004% | 2.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +5.86%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.61%E +0.784%K +1.00%G +0.036% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +1.35%E +0.301%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.66%EV -1.12%E -0.256%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.81%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -2.02%E -0.465%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 21:31 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -2.47%E -0.571%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Suprabets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.15%E -0.733%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -6.69%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.28%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.29%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 21:30 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 21:30 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 21:54 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.22%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.91%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.63%EV -11.26%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV +2.82%E +0.814%K +1.15%G +0.032% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.94%E -0.587%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.99%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.58%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.29%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.16%EV -14.51%E -8.11%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 22.81%EV -14.86%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.03%EV -11.74%E -3.95%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-11 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -16.80%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |