StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Palmeiras-SP v LDU Quito

Matchstart: 2026-09-09 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Palmeiras-SP 1–0 LDU Quito

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Palmeiras-SP (Hemma)

Prognos 69.05%1.45rättvist odds
EV -4.03%
Fördel -2.90%
Kelly -10.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.64%68.94%68.95%71.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.341.341.3976.92%74.41%74.63%71.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

LDU Quito (Borta)

Prognos 9.74%10.26rättvist odds
EV +7.18%
Fördel +0.653%
Kelly +0.718%
Tillväxt +0.052%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.53%9.79%9.56%11.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.009.459.5011.0012.50%10.58%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.21%4.71rättvist odds
EV -0.314%
Fördel -0.067%
Kelly -0.085%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.00%21.27%21.49%23.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.854.354.334.7025.97%23.01%23.09%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Palmeiras-SP (Hemma): 69.05%; LDU Quito (Borta): 9.74%; Oavgjort: 21.21%. För LDU Quito (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.26. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 11.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.18%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.79%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.98%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%10.49I 9.53%NM 9.14%EV +2.21%E +0.211%K +0.233%G +0.005%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -2.65%E -0.577%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:25
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.25%EV -0.124%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.43%EV -0.611%E -0.060%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:35
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 17:10
Suprabets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.28%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 17:19
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.05%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.53%E -0.357%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.54%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -1.37%E -0.296%K -0.376%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:20
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:20
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%9.59I 10.43%NM 9.57%EV -6.56%E -0.684%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:20
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.33%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.16%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.31%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.47%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.38%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.38%EV -15.23%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.89%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.72%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 17:26
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:25
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.90%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.89%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-09 17:41