StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Palmeiras-SP v LDU Quito

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-09 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Palmeiras-SP 1–0 LDU Quito

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Palmeiras-SP (Heim)

Prognose 69.05%1.45faire Quote
EV -4.03%
Vorteil -2.90%
Kelly -10.32%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.39

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.64%68.94%68.95%71.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.341.341.3976.92%74.41%74.63%71.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

LDU Quito (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.74%10.26faire Quote
EV +7.18%
Vorteil +0.653%
Kelly +0.718%
Wachstum +0.052%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.53%9.79%9.56%11.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.009.459.5011.0012.50%10.58%10.53%9.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.21%4.71faire Quote
EV -0.314%
Vorteil -0.067%
Kelly -0.085%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.00%21.27%21.49%23.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.854.354.334.7025.97%23.01%23.09%21.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Palmeiras-SP (Heim): 69.05%; LDU Quito (Auswärts): 9.74%; Unentschieden: 21.21%. Für LDU Quito (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.26. 8 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.18%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.79%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.98%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%10.49I 9.53%NM 9.14%EV +2.21%E +0.211%K +0.233%G +0.005%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -2.65%E -0.577%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:25
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.25%EV -0.124%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.43%EV -0.611%E -0.060%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:35
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 17:10
Suprabets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.28%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 17:19
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.05%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.53%E -0.357%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.54%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -1.37%E -0.296%K -0.376%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:20
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:20
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%9.59I 10.43%NM 9.57%EV -6.56%E -0.684%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:20
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.33%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.16%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.31%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.47%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.38%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.38%EV -15.23%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.89%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.72%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 17:26
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:25
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 15:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.90%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.89%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-09 17:41