Idioma:Português
Palmeiras-SP v LDU Quito
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Previsão 69.05%1.45odd justa
EV -4.03%
Vantagem -2.90%
Kelly -10.32%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.64%68.94%68.95%71.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.341.3976.92%74.41%74.63%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
LDU Quito (Visitante)
Previsão 9.74%10.26odd justa
EV +7.18%
Vantagem +0.653%
Kelly +0.718%
Crescimento +0.052%
pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.53%9.79%9.56%11.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.009.459.5011.0012.50%10.58%10.53%9.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 21.21%4.71odd justa
EV -0.314%
Vantagem -0.067%
Kelly -0.085%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.00%21.27%21.49%23.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.354.334.7025.97%23.01%23.09%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Palmeiras-SP (Local): 69.05%; LDU Quito (Visitante): 9.74%; Empate: 21.21%. Para LDU Quito (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.26. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.18%.
Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.79%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.98%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 9.14%EV +2.21%E +0.211%K +0.233%G +0.005% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -2.65%E -0.577%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.25%EV -0.124%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.43%EV -0.611%E -0.060%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.28%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 17:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.05%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.53%E -0.357%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.54%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -1.37%E -0.296%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 9.59I 10.43%NM 9.57%EV -6.56%E -0.684%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.33%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.16%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.31%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.47%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.38%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.38%EV -15.23%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.89%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.72%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.90% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.89% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |