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Palmeiras-SP v LDU Quito
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Palmeiras-SP (Хозяева)
Прогноз 69.05%1.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.03%
Преимущество -2.90%
Kelly -10.32%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.39
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.64%68.94%68.95%71.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.341.341.3976.92%74.41%74.63%71.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
LDU Quito (Гости)
Прогноз 9.74%10.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.18%
Преимущество +0.653%
Kelly +0.718%
Рост +0.052%
при максимальном коэффициенте 11.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.53%9.79%9.56%11.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.009.459.5011.0012.50%10.58%10.53%9.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.21%4.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.314%
Преимущество -0.067%
Kelly -0.085%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.00%21.27%21.49%23.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.854.354.334.7025.97%23.01%23.09%21.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Palmeiras-SP (Хозяева): 69.05%; LDU Quito (Гости): 9.74%; Ничья: 21.21%. Для исхода «LDU Quito (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 10.26. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 11.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.18%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +7.18%E +0.653%K +0.718%G +0.052% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.79%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +2.31%E +0.220%K +0.243%G +0.006% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.98%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 9.14%EV +2.21%E +0.211%K +0.233%G +0.005% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -2.65%E -0.577%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.25%EV -0.124%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.20%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.43%EV -0.611%E -0.060%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.85%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.314%E -0.067%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.28%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 17:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -2.56%E -0.256%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.05%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.53%E -0.357%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.54%EV -5.00%E -0.512%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -1.37%E -0.296%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -5.48%E -0.565%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 9.59I 10.43%NM 9.57%EV -6.56%E -0.684%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.33%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.43%E -0.782%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.16%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.31%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.47%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.30%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.38%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.38%EV -15.23%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.89%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.72%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.03%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.90% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.89% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |