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Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Palmeiras-SP (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.39%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.27%
Преимущество -3.14%
Kelly -11.87%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.31%70.54%70.42%74.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.241.311.321.3680.65%76.39%75.76%73.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cerro Porteño (Гости)
Прогноз 9.88%10.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +23.49%
Преимущество +1.88%
Kelly +2.04%
Рост +0.480%
при максимальном коэффициенте 12.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.55%9.84%9.85%12.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.009.859.8012.5014.29%10.15%10.20%8.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.73%5.07справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.19%
Преимущество +0.794%
Kelly +0.980%
Рост +0.041%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.28
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.01%19.62%19.73%21.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.774.755.2823.81%20.97%21.05%18.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Palmeiras-SP (Хозяева): 70.39%; Cerro Porteño (Гости): 9.88%; Ничья: 19.73%. Для исхода «Cerro Porteño (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 10.12. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 12.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +23.49%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.55%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 10.37I 9.64%NM 9.25%EV +2.44%E +0.236%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.58%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.41%EV -0.222%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +4.19%E +0.794%K +0.980%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.71%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.53%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 9.69I 10.32%NM 9.75%EV -4.27%E -0.441%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.70%EV -0.346%E -0.068%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.70%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.24%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.97%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -17.12%E -4.08%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.20%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.32%EV -8.62%E -0.932%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -14.55%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.24%EV -9.20%E -7.13%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 00:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.20%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.67%EV -18.00%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -20.97%E -2.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.95%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.57%EV -23.44%E -3.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |