Langue:Français
Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Prévision 70.39%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -3.14%
Kelly -11.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.31%70.54%70.42%74.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.311.321.3680.65%76.39%75.76%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cerro Porteño (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.88%10.12cote équitable
EV +23.49%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.480%
avec la cote maximale 12.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.55%9.84%9.85%12.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.009.859.8012.5014.29%10.15%10.20%8.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.73%5.07cote équitable
EV +4.19%
Avantage +0.794%
Kelly +0.980%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 5.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.01%19.62%19.73%21.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.774.755.2823.81%20.97%21.05%18.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palmeiras-SP (Local) : 70.39% ; Cerro Porteño (Visiteur) : 9.88% ; Match nul : 19.73%. Pour Cerro Porteño (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.12. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.50, soit une espérance positive de +23.49%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.55%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 10.37I 9.64%NM 9.25%EV +2.44%E +0.236%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.58%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.41%EV -0.222%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +4.19%E +0.794%K +0.980%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.71%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.53%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 9.69I 10.32%NM 9.75%EV -4.27%E -0.441%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.70%EV -0.346%E -0.068%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.70%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.24%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.97%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -17.12%E -4.08%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.20%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.32%EV -8.62%E -0.932%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -14.55%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.24%EV -9.20%E -7.13%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 00:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.20%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.67%EV -18.00%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -20.97%E -2.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.95%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.57%EV -23.44%E -3.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |