مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Palmeiras-SP (المضيف)
التنبؤ 70.39%1.42السعر العادل
EV -4.27%
الأفضلية -3.14%
Kelly -11.87%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.31%70.54%70.42%74.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.241.311.321.3680.65%76.39%75.76%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Cerro Porteño (الضيف)
التنبؤ 9.88%10.12السعر العادل
EV +23.49%
الأفضلية +1.88%
Kelly +2.04%
النمو +0.480%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.55%9.84%9.85%12.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.009.859.8012.5014.29%10.15%10.20%8.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 19.73%5.07السعر العادل
EV +4.19%
الأفضلية +0.794%
Kelly +0.980%
النمو +0.041%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.28
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.01%19.62%19.73%21.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.774.755.2823.81%20.97%21.05%18.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.55%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 10.37I 9.64%NM 9.25%EV +2.44%E +0.236%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.58%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.41%EV -0.222%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +4.19%E +0.794%K +0.980%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.71%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.53%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 9.69I 10.32%NM 9.75%EV -4.27%E -0.441%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.70%EV -0.346%E -0.068%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.70%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.24%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.97%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -17.12%E -4.08%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.20%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.32%EV -8.62%E -0.932%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -14.55%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.24%EV -9.20%E -7.13%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 00:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.20%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.67%EV -18.00%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -20.97%E -2.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.95%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.57%EV -23.44%E -3.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |