La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Predicción 70.39%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -3.14%
Kelly -11.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.31%70.54%70.42%74.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.311.321.3680.65%76.39%75.76%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cerro Porteño (Visitante)
Predicción 9.88%10.12momio equitativo
EV +23.49%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.480%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.55%9.84%9.85%12.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.859.8012.5014.29%10.15%10.20%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.73%5.07momio equitativo
EV +4.19%
Ventaja +0.794%
Kelly +0.980%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.01%19.62%19.73%21.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.774.755.2823.81%20.97%21.05%18.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 11:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.55%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 10.37I 9.64%NM 9.25%EV +2.44%E +0.236%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.58%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.41%EV -0.222%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +4.19%E +0.794%K +0.980%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.71%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.53%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 9.69I 10.32%NM 9.75%EV -4.27%E -0.441%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.70%EV -0.346%E -0.068%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.70%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.24%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.97%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -17.12%E -4.08%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.20%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.32%EV -8.62%E -0.932%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -14.55%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.24%EV -9.20%E -7.13%K -31.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 00:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.20%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.67%EV -18.00%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -20.97%E -2.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.95%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.57%EV -23.44%E -3.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |