Die Schule der Quoten

Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-21 00:30 UTC

Endstand: Palmeiras-SP 0–1 Cerro Porteño

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Palmeiras-SP (Heim)

Prognose 70.39%1.42faire Quote
EV -4.27%
Vorteil -3.14%
Kelly -11.87%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.31%70.54%70.42%74.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.241.311.321.3680.65%76.39%75.76%73.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Cerro Porteño (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.88%10.12faire Quote
EV +23.49%
Vorteil +1.88%
Kelly +2.04%
Wachstum +0.480%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.55%9.84%9.85%12.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
7.009.859.8012.5014.29%10.15%10.20%8.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 19.73%5.07faire Quote
EV +4.19%
Vorteil +0.794%
Kelly +0.980%
Wachstum +0.041%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.01%19.62%19.73%21.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.204.774.755.2823.81%20.97%21.05%18.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016%2.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.41%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.81%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016%2.4%2026-05-21 00:20
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +23.49%E +1.88%K +2.04%G +0.480%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +2.61%E +0.503%K +0.622%G +0.016%6.0%2026-05-21 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 00:20
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.72%E -10.26%K -53.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +18.55%E +1.55%K +1.69%G +0.313%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 00:20
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.9%2026-05-20 11:59
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.23%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV +0.641%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.9%2026-05-20 11:59
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 00:20
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.61%E -8.35%K -39.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +3.73%E +0.355%K +0.393%G +0.015%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.55%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000%10.37I 9.64%NM 9.25%EV +2.44%E +0.236%K +0.261%G +0.006%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:20
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.58%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.41%EV -0.222%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +4.19%E +0.794%K +0.980%G +0.041%5.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.33%E -0.266%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -1.21%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 00:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 00:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.39%EV -4.98%E -3.69%K -14.22%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -12.19%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 00:10
Suprabets1.34I 74.63%NM 69.71%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.53%EV -3.19%E -0.325%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 00:20
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%9.69I 10.32%NM 9.75%EV -4.27%E -0.441%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.70%EV -0.346%E -0.068%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 00:19
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 70.70%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 00:20
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.24%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.97%EV -12.02%E -9.61%K -48.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -6.15%E -0.647%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -17.12%E -4.08%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-21 00:20
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.20%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.32%EV -8.62%E -0.932%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -3.31%E -0.675%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 00:19
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 00:20
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 00:20
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -14.55%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.24%EV -9.20%E -7.13%K -31.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -11.09%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 00:18
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 00:20
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.27%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 00:20
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -16.03%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.20%EV -9.90%E -7.74%K -35.37%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.67%EV -18.00%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.17%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -20.97%E -2.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.28%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.95%EV -8.50%E -6.54%K -28.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.57%EV -23.44%E -3.02%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -9.23%E -2.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 00:20
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 00:20
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -30.85%E -4.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.20%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 00:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.25%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%0.7%2026-05-21 00:20
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.61%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-05-21 00:20