The School of Odds

Mirassol v LDU Quito

2026-08-13 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

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Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.13%49.00%49.35%50.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.901.902.0057%53%53%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

LDU Quito (Visit)

Prediction 23.07%4.34fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%23.33%23.00%26.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.833.804.2529%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -0.888%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%27.66%27.65%28.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.303.303.5033%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -6.12%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -3.66%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 01:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -20.42%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -20.42%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -20.42%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 12:55
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70%EV -4.49%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 07:11
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.12%E -0.743%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 08:04
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.43%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 01:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 08:04
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 08:04
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 10:58
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.76%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 11:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -1.97%E -0.463%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:04
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -1.97%E -0.463%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:05
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 22:55
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.11%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 14:09
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 08:05
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:03
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:03
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.93%EV -12.33%E -6.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-15 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.81%E -7.89%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.18%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-15 22:55
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.81%E -7.89%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.18%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-15 22:55
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 48.36%EV -14.30%E -8.22%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -19.27%E -5.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.59%EV -15.57%E -5.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-15 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 48.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%16.3%2026-07-15 22:55