The School of Odds

Mirassol v LDU Quito

2026-08-12 00:00 — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Mirassol (Local)

Odds
1.7457.47%Min
1.9252.17%Mean
1.9252.08%Median
2.0050.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
46.13%2.168Min
49.96%2.002Max
48.43%2.065Mean
48.64%2.056Median
48.59%2.058IQM
48.43%2.065Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 48.59%

EV -2.82%Edge -1.41%Kelly -2.82%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: LDU Quito (Visit)

Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.8825.78%Mean
3.9525.32%Median
4.3023.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.19%4.719Min
26.34%3.797Max
23.31%4.289Mean
23.06%4.337Median
23.01%4.345IQM
23.33%4.286Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 23.01%

EV -1.04%Edge -0.242%Kelly -0.315%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.2231.09%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.44%3.644Min
30.69%3.258Max
28.26%3.539Mean
28.31%3.533Median
28.40%3.521IQM
28.24%3.541Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.40%

EV -3.45%Edge -1.01%Kelly -1.44%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMirassol (Local) ▼LDU Quito (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -2.82% E -1.41% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.45% E -1.01% K -1.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
PlayUp1.98I 50.51% NM 46.06%EV -3.80% E -1.92% K -3.87% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.99%EV -16.00% E -4.38% K -6.04% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.95%EV -10.55% E -3.35% K -4.91% G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-10 22:50
1xBet1.97I 50.76% NM 48.67%EV -4.28% E -2.17% K -4.41% G +0.000%4.16I 24.04% NM 23.05%EV -4.26% E -1.02% K -1.35% G +0.000%3.39I 29.50% NM 28.28%EV -3.73% E -1.10% K -1.56% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 09:56
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76% NM 46.13%EV -4.28% E -2.17% K -4.41% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.34%EV -20.60% E -5.97% K -8.41% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.54%EV -6.29% E -1.91% K -2.73% G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76% NM 46.13%EV -4.28% E -2.17% K -4.41% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.34%EV -20.60% E -5.97% K -8.41% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.54%EV -6.29% E -1.91% K -2.73% G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28% NM 48.66%EV -5.25% E -2.69% K -5.53% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.59%EV -3.34% E -0.795% K -1.04% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.75%EV -6.29% E -1.91% K -2.73% G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 02:59
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08% NM 48.64%EV -6.71% E -3.50% K -7.29% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.06%EV -6.79% E -1.68% K -2.23% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.30%EV -6.29% E -1.91% K -2.73% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 09:49
Betsson1.92I 52.08% NM 48.15%EV -6.71% E -3.50% K -7.29% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.40%EV -9.09% E -2.30% K -3.08% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.45%EV -7.71% E -2.37% K -3.43% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 11:19
NordicBet1.92I 52.08% NM 48.15%EV -6.71% E -3.50% K -7.29% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.40%EV -9.09% E -2.30% K -3.08% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.45%EV -7.71% E -2.37% K -3.43% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 10:09
SportsBet1.90I 52.63% NM 48.83%EV -7.68% E -4.04% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.63%EV -5.64% E -1.38% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.55%EV -7.71% E -2.37% K -3.43% G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 15:49
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63% NM 48.34%EV -7.68% E -4.04% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.96%EV -7.94% E -1.99% K -2.65% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.70%EV -9.13% E -2.85% K -4.15% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
Suprabets1.90I 52.63% NM 48.25%EV -7.68% E -4.04% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.92%EV -7.94% E -1.99% K -2.65% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 28.83%EV -9.70% E -3.05% K -4.45% G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 11:10
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63% NM 47.89%EV -7.68% E -4.04% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -7.94% E -1.99% K -2.65% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.35%EV -11.97% E -3.86% K -5.70% G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-10 15:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63% NM 47.89%EV -7.68% E -4.04% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -7.94% E -1.99% K -2.65% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.35%EV -11.97% E -3.86% K -5.70% G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 12:00
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91% NM 48.74%EV -8.17% E -4.32% K -9.18% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.47%EV -5.64% E -1.38% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.79%EV -9.13% E -2.85% K -4.15% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-24 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48% NM 49.96%EV -9.14% E -4.89% K -10.51% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.73%EV -1.04% E -0.242% K -0.315% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.31%EV -6.29% E -1.91% K -2.73% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05% NM 48.11%EV -10.11% E -5.47% K -11.90% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.19%EV -3.34% E -0.795% K -1.04% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.69%EV -17.65% E -6.09% K -9.29% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-01 08:39
Coral1.85I 54.05% NM 48.11%EV -10.11% E -5.47% K -11.90% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.19%EV -3.34% E -0.795% K -1.04% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.69%EV -17.65% E -6.09% K -9.29% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-01 08:40
Neds1.85I 54.05% NM 48.11%EV -10.11% E -5.47% K -11.90% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.19%EV -3.34% E -0.795% K -1.04% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.69%EV -17.65% E -6.09% K -9.29% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-01 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05% NM 48.11%EV -10.11% E -5.47% K -11.90% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.19%EV -3.34% E -0.795% K -1.04% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.69%EV -17.65% E -6.09% K -9.29% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-01 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56% NM 48.53%EV -12.54% E -6.97% K -15.68% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.29%EV -13.70% E -3.65% K -4.98% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.18%EV -11.97% E -3.86% K -5.70% G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-05 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50% NM 48.79%EV -14.00% E -7.91% K -18.18% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.43%EV -11.40% E -2.96% K -4.00% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.78%EV -14.81% E -4.94% K -7.40% G +0.000%15.8%2026-06-05 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50% NM 48.73%EV -14.00% E -7.91% K -18.18% G +0.000%3.83I 26.11% NM 22.52%EV -11.86% E -3.10% K -4.19% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.75%EV -14.81% E -4.94% K -7.40% G +0.000%15.9%2026-06-05 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47% NM 48.24%EV -15.46% E -8.88% K -20.89% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.31%EV -17.15% E -4.76% K -6.60% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 28.45%EV -16.23% E -5.50% K -8.32% G +0.000%19.1%2026-06-05 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerMirassol (Local)LDU Quito (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%3.75I 26.67%2.96I 33.78%16.3%2026-06-05 15:49