Language:English
Mirassol v LDU Quito
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mirassol (Local)
Prediction 56.80%1.76fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.38%56.92%56.75%59.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.7364.10%61.05%60.79%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
LDU Quito (Visit)
Prediction 15.67%6.38fair odd
EV +5.00%
Edge +0.746%
Kelly +0.877%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 6.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.30%15.62%15.66%17.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.845.856.7019.05%17.12%17.09%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV -0.893%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.45%27.59%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.353.6031.25%29.78%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirassol (Local): 56.80%; LDU Quito (Visit): 15.67%; Draw: 27.53%. For LDU Quito (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.38. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.78%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.30%EV +5.00%E +0.746%K +0.877%G +0.044% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.92%EV -1.99%E -0.560%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.81%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.893%E -0.248%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.35%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:42 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.29%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -1.59%E -0.252%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -3.62%E -0.589%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.67%EV -5.35%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.00%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.85%E -4.18%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -9.11%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 20:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.96%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 21:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.26%EV -11.39%E -7.30%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -10.67%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.01%E -2.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 21:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.38%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.88% | -0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
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