Idioma:Español
Mirassol v LDU Quito
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mirassol (Local)
Predicción 56.80%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.38%56.92%56.75%59.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.651.7364.10%61.05%60.79%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
LDU Quito (Visitante)
Predicción 15.67%6.38momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +0.746%
Kelly +0.877%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.30%15.62%15.66%17.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.255.845.856.7019.05%17.12%17.09%14.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.893%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.344%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.45%27.59%28.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.353.6031.25%29.78%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mirassol (Local): 56.80%; LDU Quito (Visitante): 15.67%; Empate: 27.53%. Para LDU Quito (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.38. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.78%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.30%EV +5.00%E +0.746%K +0.877%G +0.044% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.92%EV -1.99%E -0.560%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.81%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.893%E -0.248%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.35%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:42 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.29%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -1.59%E -0.252%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -3.62%E -0.589%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.67%EV -5.35%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.00%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.85%E -4.18%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -9.11%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 20:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.96%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 21:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.26%EV -11.39%E -7.30%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -10.67%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.01%E -2.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 21:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.38%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.88% | -0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |