La escuela de los momios

Mirassol v LDU Quito

2026-08-13 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (6 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Predicción 52.19%1.92momio equitativo
EV +4.38%
Ventaja +2.19%
Kelly +4.38%
Crecimiento +0.192%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.13%51.43%52.23%53.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.831.782.0061.73%54.69%56.18%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LDU Quito (Visitante)

Predicción 20.50%4.88momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.699%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.83%21.32%20.37%26.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.454.164.304.7528.99%24.07%23.26%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.31%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.471%
Kelly -0.652%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%27.25%27.41%28.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.92%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV +4.38%E +2.19%K +4.38%G +0.192%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -26.20%E -7.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV +2.82%E +1.43%K +2.91%G +0.082%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -29.27%E -8.49%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV +2.82%E +1.43%K +2.91%G +0.082%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -29.27%E -8.49%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV +2.30%E +1.17%K +2.39%G +0.055%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -29.27%E -8.49%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 12:55
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.62%E -0.552%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 12:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.43%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 15:30
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.67%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.70%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -1.69%E -0.471%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 15:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 13:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 13:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -11.85%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 15:01
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -3.65%E -0.776%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 15:05
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -3.65%E -0.776%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:03
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.69%E -0.471%K -0.652%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 14:05
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.43%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 15:25
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.36%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 17:50
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.14%E -4.63%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 13:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 12:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 12:54
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 12:54
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 12:55
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.16%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 16:44
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.85%EV -6.88%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 16:44
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.90%EV -12.32%E -7.33%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -15.95%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.42%EV -13.88%E -8.41%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.12%EV -11.85%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46%EV -13.98%E -4.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.33%EV -13.88%E -8.41%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -11.85%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.59%EV -14.53%E -4.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-26 13:57
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.88%EV -15.45%E -9.54%K -24.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.01%EV -18.00%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.11%EV -15.35%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-26 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 51.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%16.5%2026-07-26 14:00
Arbitraje (222 combinaciones) +1.18%Unibet 2.00 (50.6%) / Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%) / Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)Ver las 222 combinaciones
Mirassol (Local)LDU Quito (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Unibet 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Unibet 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Unibet (NL) 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Unibet (NL) 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
BetRivers 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
BetRivers 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Grosvenor 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Grosvenor 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Casumo 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Casumo 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Svenska Spel 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Svenska Spel 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
ATG (SE) 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)1xBet 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
ATG (SE) 2.00 (50.6%)Coolbet 4.75 (21.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.1%)+1.18%
Unibet 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet (NL) 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet (NL) 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet (NL) 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet (NL) 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
BetRivers 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
BetRivers 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
BetRivers 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
BetRivers 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Grosvenor 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Grosvenor 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Grosvenor 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Grosvenor 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Casumo 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Casumo 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Casumo 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Casumo 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Svenska Spel 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Svenska Spel 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Svenska Spel 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Svenska Spel 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
ATG (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
ATG (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)Betsson 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
ATG (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
ATG (SE) 2.00 (50.5%)NordicBet 4.70 (21.5%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.955%
Unibet 2.00 (50.3%)1xBet 4.63 (21.7%)1xBet 3.60 (28.0%)+0.628%
Unibet 2.00 (50.3%)1xBet 4.63 (21.7%)Tipico (DE) 3.60 (28.0%)+0.628%

Mostrando 50 de 222 combinaciones