Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.73
avec la cote maximale 6.70
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mirassol (Local) : 56.80% ; LDU Quito (Visiteur) : 15.67% ; Match nul : 27.53%. Pour LDU Quito (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.38. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.70, soit une espérance positive de +5.00%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.78%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.30%EV +5.00%E +0.746%K +0.877%G +0.044% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.92%EV -1.99%E -0.560%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.81%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.893%E -0.248%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.35%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:42 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.29%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -1.59%E -0.252%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -3.62%E -0.589%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.67%EV -5.35%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.00%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.85%E -4.18%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -9.11%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 20:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.96%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 21:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.26%EV -11.39%E -7.30%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -10.67%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.01%E -2.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 21:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.38%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-13 21:14 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.36% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.88% | -0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |