StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mirassol v LDU Quito

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Mirassol 1–1 LDU Quito

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mirassol (Heim)

Prognose 56.80%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.74%
Vorteil -1.00%
Kelly -2.38%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.38%56.92%56.75%59.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.641.651.7364.10%61.05%60.79%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

LDU Quito (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.67%6.38faire Quote
EV +5.00%
Vorteil +0.746%
Kelly +0.877%
Wachstum +0.044%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.30%15.62%15.66%17.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.255.845.856.7019.05%17.12%17.09%14.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.53%3.63faire Quote
EV -0.893%
Vorteil -0.248%
Kelly -0.344%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.00%27.45%27.59%28.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.363.353.6031.25%29.78%29.85%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Mirassol (Heim): 56.80%; LDU Quito (Auswärts): 15.67%; Unentschieden: 27.53%. Für LDU Quito (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.38. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.00%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.78%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.30%EV +5.00%E +0.746%K +0.877%G +0.044%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.92%EV -1.99%E -0.560%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 21:44
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.81%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 21:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.893%E -0.248%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 21:29
Suprabets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.35%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:42
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.29%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -1.59%E -0.252%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 21:49
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -3.62%E -0.589%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 21:14
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.67%EV -5.35%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.00%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:39
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 21:29
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.85%E -4.18%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 21:44
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 21:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 21:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 21:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 21:49
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -9.11%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 20:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 21:39
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.96%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 21:32
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.26%EV -11.39%E -7.30%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -10.67%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:14
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:14
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.01%E -2.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 21:04
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 21:14
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 21:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:40
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-13 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-13 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.38%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-13 21:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 57.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.88%-0.4%2026-08-13 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-08-13 21:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-08-13 21:40