La scuola delle quote

Mirassol v LDU Quito

2026-08-13 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mirassol (Casa)

Previsione 49.25%2.03quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.750%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.13%49.00%49.35%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.901.902.0057.47%52.55%52.63%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

LDU Quito (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.07%4.34quota equa
EV -1.97%
Vantaggio -0.463%
Kelly -0.605%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.89%23.33%23.00%26.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.833.804.2528.99%26.08%26.32%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.68%3.61quota equa
EV -3.11%
Vantaggio -0.888%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.70%27.66%27.65%28.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.303.303.5032.79%30.32%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -1.50%E -0.750%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 20:20
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -6.12%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -3.66%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 01:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -20.42%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -20.42%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:20
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -20.42%E -5.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 12:55
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70%EV -4.49%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 07:11
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.12%E -0.743%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 08:04
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.11%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.43%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 01:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 08:04
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 08:04
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 10:58
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.76%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 11:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -1.97%E -0.463%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:04
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -1.97%E -0.463%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:05
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 22:55
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.11%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 14:09
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 08:05
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:03
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:03
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.93%EV -12.33%E -6.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.41%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-15 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.81%E -7.89%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.18%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-15 22:55
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.81%E -7.89%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.18%E -4.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-15 22:55
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 48.36%EV -14.30%E -8.22%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -19.27%E -5.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.59%EV -15.57%E -5.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-15 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 48.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%16.3%2026-07-15 22:55