Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mirassol v LDU Quito

Inizio: 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC

Finale: Mirassol 1–1 LDU Quito

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mirassol (Casa)

Previsione 56.80%1.76quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.38%56.92%56.75%59.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.641.651.7364.10%61.05%60.79%57.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

LDU Quito (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.67%6.38quota equa
EV +5.00%
Vantaggio +0.746%
Kelly +0.877%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.30%15.62%15.66%17.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.255.845.856.7019.05%17.12%17.09%14.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.53%3.63quota equa
EV -0.893%
Vantaggio -0.248%
Kelly -0.344%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.00%27.45%27.59%28.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.363.353.6031.25%29.78%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mirassol (Casa): 56.80%; LDU Quito (Trasferta): 15.67%; Pareggio: 27.53%. Per LDU Quito (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.38. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.00%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.78%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.30%EV +5.00%E +0.746%K +0.877%G +0.044%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.92%EV -1.99%E -0.560%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 21:44
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.81%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 21:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.893%E -0.248%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 21:29
Suprabets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.86%E +0.287%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.35%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:42
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.29%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -1.59%E -0.252%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 21:49
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -3.00%E -0.484%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -3.62%E -0.589%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.47%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.41%E -0.722%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%EV -2.27%E -0.639%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 21:14
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.67%EV -5.35%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.00%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:39
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.42%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 21:29
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.85%E -4.18%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 21:44
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 21:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 21:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.97%E -0.996%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 21:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 21:49
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -4.58%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.54%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -9.11%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 20:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 21:39
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.96%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.89%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 21:32
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.26%EV -11.39%E -7.30%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -10.67%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:14
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -12.24%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:14
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.01%E -2.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 21:04
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 21:14
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 21:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:40
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-13 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.81%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-13 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -6.28%E -3.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.38%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-13 21:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -17.73%E -3.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 57.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.88%-0.4%2026-08-13 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-08-13 21:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-08-13 21:40