Language:English
Libertad Asuncion v Rosario Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Libertad Asuncion (Local)
Prediction 21.27%4.70fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.46%21.25%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.274.254.7525.32%23.41%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosario Central (Visit)
Prediction 48.09%2.08fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.54%48.00%48.10%49.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.951.932.1455.87%51.34%51.81%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.64%3.26fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.56%30.54%30.66%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.1935.71%33.26%33.33%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Libertad Asuncion (Local): 21.27%; Rosario Central (Visit): 48.09%; Draw: 30.64%. For Rosario Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -1.41%E -0.686%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 21:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.36%EV +0.393%E +0.083%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -2.27%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.282%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +1.03%E +0.217%K +0.275%G +0.003% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.68%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.16%E -0.469%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.26%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 21:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.91%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.97%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.34%EV -10.54%E -5.67%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.46%EV -13.86%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.50%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.53%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.85%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |