La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Libertad Asuncion v Rosario Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Libertad Asuncion (Local)
Predicción 21.27%4.70momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.275%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.87%21.46%21.25%23.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.274.254.7525.32%23.41%23.53%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rosario Central (Visitante)
Predicción 48.09%2.08momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +2.56%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.54%48.00%48.10%49.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.951.932.1455.87%51.34%51.81%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.64%3.26momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.56%30.54%30.66%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.1935.71%33.26%33.33%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -1.41%E -0.686%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 21:48 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Pinnacle | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.36%EV +0.393%E +0.083%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -2.27%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| GTbets | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.282%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| 1xBet | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| 888sport | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +1.03%E +0.217%K +0.275%G +0.003% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.68%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Suprabets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.16%E -0.469%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.26%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 21:51 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.91%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.97%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 21:45 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.34%EV -10.54%E -5.67%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| William Hill | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.46%EV -13.86%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.50%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.53%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.85%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |