مدرسة الاحتمالات

Libertad Asuncion v Rosario Central

البداية: 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Libertad Asuncion (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.27%4.70السعر العادل
EV +1.03%
الأفضلية +0.217%
Kelly +0.275%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.87%21.46%21.25%23.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.274.254.7525.32%23.41%23.53%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rosario Central (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.09%2.08السعر العادل
EV +2.92%
الأفضلية +1.37%
Kelly +2.56%
النمو +0.075%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.54%48.00%48.10%49.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.951.932.1455.87%51.34%51.81%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.64%3.26السعر العادل
EV -2.27%
الأفضلية -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.56%30.54%30.66%32.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.013.003.1935.71%33.26%33.33%31.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:54
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:55
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 21:30
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:55
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -1.41%E -0.686%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 21:54
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 21:48
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:44
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:45
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:54
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:54
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:55
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:54
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 21:39
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 21:44
Pinnacle4.72I 21.19%NM 20.36%EV +0.393%E +0.083%K +0.106%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -2.27%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 21:54
GTbets4.64I 21.55%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.282%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 21:54
1xBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 21:54
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 21:54
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:54
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-15 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-15 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-15 21:39
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-15 21:39
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +1.03%E +0.217%K +0.275%G +0.003%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.68%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 21:54
Suprabets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.16%E -0.469%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.26%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 21:51
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.91%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.97%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 21:45
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 21:54
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 21:54
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 21:44
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.34%EV -10.54%E -5.67%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-15 21:54
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 21:55
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 21:54
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.46%EV -13.86%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.50%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-15 21:54
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.53%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.85%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-15 21:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18%0.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-04-15 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-04-15 21:55
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-04-15 21:54