L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Libertad Asuncion v Rosario Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Libertad Asuncion (Local)
Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.217%
Kelly +0.275%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.46%21.25%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.274.254.7525.32%23.41%23.53%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rosario Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.09%2.08cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +2.56%
Croissance +0.075%
avec la cote maximale 2.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.54%48.00%48.10%49.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.951.932.1455.87%51.34%51.81%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.64%3.26cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.56%30.54%30.66%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.1935.71%33.26%33.33%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -1.41%E -0.686%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 21:48 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Pinnacle | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.36%EV +0.393%E +0.083%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -2.27%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| GTbets | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.282%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| 1xBet | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| 888sport | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +1.03%E +0.217%K +0.275%G +0.003% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.68%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Suprabets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.16%E -0.469%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.26%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 21:51 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.91%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.97%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 21:45 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.34%EV -10.54%E -5.67%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| William Hill | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.46%EV -13.86%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.50%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.53%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.85%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |