La scuola delle quote

Libertad Asuncion v Rosario Central

Inizio: 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC

Finale: Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Libertad Asuncion (Casa)

Previsione 21.27%4.70quota equa
EV +1.03%
Vantaggio +0.217%
Kelly +0.275%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.87%21.46%21.25%23.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.274.254.7525.32%23.41%23.53%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rosario Central (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.09%2.08quota equa
EV +2.92%
Vantaggio +1.37%
Kelly +2.56%
Crescita +0.075%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.54%48.00%48.10%49.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.951.932.1455.87%51.34%51.81%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.64%3.26quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.56%30.54%30.66%32.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.013.003.1935.71%33.26%33.33%31.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:54
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.95%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.58%EV +2.92%E +1.37%K +2.56%G +0.075%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:55
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 21:30
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:55
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -0.925%E -0.449%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -1.41%E -0.686%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 21:54
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.86%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 21:48
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:44
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:45
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:54
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:54
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -3.81%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:55
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:54
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 21:39
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 21:44
Pinnacle4.72I 21.19%NM 20.36%EV +0.393%E +0.083%K +0.106%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -2.27%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 21:54
GTbets4.64I 21.55%NM 20.03%EV -1.31%E -0.282%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 21:54
1xBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -5.95%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 21:54
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.87%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 21:54
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:54
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-15 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.77%E -4.09%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-15 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-15 21:39
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.39%EV -12.08%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-15 21:39
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV +1.03%E +0.217%K +0.275%G +0.003%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.68%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 21:54
Suprabets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.16%E -0.469%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.26%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 21:51
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.91%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.97%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 21:45
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 21:54
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.50%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 21:54
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.03%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 21:44
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.34%EV -10.54%E -5.67%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.16%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-15 21:54
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 21:55
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 21:54
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.46%EV -13.86%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.50%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-15 21:54
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.53%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.85%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-15 21:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18%0.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-04-15 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-04-15 21:55
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-04-15 21:54