赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

LDU Quito v Palmeiras-SP

开赛时间： 2026-09-16 22:00 UTC

最终结果： LDU Quito 3–2 Palmeiras-SP

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

LDU Quito (主队)

预测 37.07%2.70公平赔率
EV -1.77%
优势 -0.667%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.10%37.00%37.15%38.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.03%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Palmeiras-SP (客队)

预测 31.82%3.14公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.332%
Kelly -0.490%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.11

博彩公司预测分布
30.40%31.81%31.86%32.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.892.903.1137.04%34.59%34.48%32.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.11%3.21公平赔率
EV -0.452%
优势 -0.141%
Kelly -0.205%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
30.19%31.19%30.99%32.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.973.003.2035.71%33.72%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：LDU Quito (主队)：37.07%；Palmeiras-SP (客队)：31.82%；平局：31.11%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.20，期望值为-0.452%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-16 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -1.35%E -0.436%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 21:15
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.30%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -1.03%E -0.332%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.74%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 21:50
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -3.90%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 21:53
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 21:45
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 21:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 21:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 21:05
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.35%EV -6.21%E -2.46%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.47%EV -7.40%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.19%EV -2.63%E -0.840%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 06:36
Suprabets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.28%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -9.47%E -3.26%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 21:15
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 21:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 21:16
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 21:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 21:56
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 21:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 21:56
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 21:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 21:56
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 21:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.07%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.82%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 21:56
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -2.94%E -0.965%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -9.16%E -3.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 21:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 21:15
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 21:41
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 21:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 21:05
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-16 21:20
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 21:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.75%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.72%EV -10.26%E -3.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.53%EV -8.85%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-16 21:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-16 21:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-16 21:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-09-16 21:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-09-16 21:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-09-16 21:56
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-09-16 21:56