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LDU Quito v Palmeiras-SP
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
LDU Quito (Local)
Prévision 37.07%2.70cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.667%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.10%37.00%37.15%38.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.03%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Palmeiras-SP (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.332%
Kelly -0.490%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.40%31.81%31.86%32.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.1137.04%34.59%34.48%32.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.11%3.21cote équitable
EV -0.452%
Avantage -0.141%
Kelly -0.205%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.19%31.19%30.99%32.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.973.003.2035.71%33.72%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : LDU Quito (Local) : 37.07% ; Palmeiras-SP (Visiteur) : 31.82% ; Match nul : 31.11%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.21. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.20, pour une espérance de -0.452% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -1.35%E -0.436%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.30%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -1.03%E -0.332%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.74%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -3.90%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.35%EV -6.21%E -2.46%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.47%EV -7.40%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.19%EV -2.63%E -0.840%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 06:36 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.28%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -9.47%E -3.26%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.07%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.82%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -2.94%E -0.965%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -9.16%E -3.14%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.75%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.72%EV -10.26%E -3.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.53%EV -8.85%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 21:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-16 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |