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LDU Quito v Palmeiras-SP
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
LDU Quito (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 37.07%2.70kurs godziwy
EV -1.77%
Przewaga -0.667%
Kelly -1.07%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.10%37.00%37.15%38.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.03%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Palmeiras-SP (Goście)
Prognoza 31.82%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -1.03%
Przewaga -0.332%
Kelly -0.490%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.11
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.40%31.81%31.86%32.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.892.903.1137.04%34.59%34.48%32.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 31.11%3.21kurs godziwy
EV -0.452%
Przewaga -0.141%
Kelly -0.205%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.19%31.19%30.99%32.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.802.973.003.2035.71%33.72%33.33%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: LDU Quito (Gospodarze): 37.07%; Palmeiras-SP (Goście): 31.82%; Remis: 31.11%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.21. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.20, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.452%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -1.35%E -0.436%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.30%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -1.03%E -0.332%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.74%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -3.90%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.35%EV -6.21%E -2.46%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.47%EV -7.40%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.19%EV -2.63%E -0.840%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 06:36 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.28%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -9.47%E -3.26%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.07%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.82%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -2.94%E -0.965%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -9.16%E -3.14%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.75%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.72%EV -10.26%E -3.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.53%EV -8.85%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 21:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-16 21:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |