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LDU Quito v Palmeiras-SP
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
LDU Quito (Local)
Previsão 37.07%2.70odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -0.667%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.10%37.00%37.15%38.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.03%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Palmeiras-SP (Visitante)
Previsão 31.82%3.14odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.332%
Kelly -0.490%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.40%31.81%31.86%32.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.892.903.1137.04%34.59%34.48%32.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 31.11%3.21odd justa
EV -0.452%
Vantagem -0.141%
Kelly -0.205%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.19%31.19%30.99%32.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.973.003.2035.71%33.72%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: LDU Quito (Local): 37.07%; Palmeiras-SP (Visitante): 31.82%; Empate: 31.11%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.21. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.20, com valor esperado de -0.452%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.667%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -0.452%E -0.141%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -2.14%E -0.810%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -1.35%E -0.436%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.30%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -1.03%E -0.332%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.74%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -3.90%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.35%EV -6.21%E -2.46%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.47%EV -7.40%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.19%EV -2.63%E -0.840%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 06:36 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -6.96%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.28%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -9.47%E -3.26%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-16 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.07%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -6.44%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.82%EV -6.05%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -2.94%E -0.965%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -9.16%E -3.14%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -9.92%E -4.08%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -14.08%E -5.22%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 21:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.75%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.72%EV -10.26%E -3.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.53%EV -8.85%E -3.02%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -12.15%E -5.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 21:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-16 21:35 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 21:56 |