Language:English
LDU Quito v Mirassol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
LDU Quito (Local)
Prediction 61.23%1.63fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.61%61.24%61.32%63.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.531.5769.93%65.78%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirassol (Visit)
Prediction 13.97%7.16fair odd
EV +9.95%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.144%
assuming max odds 7.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.06%13.98%13.85%15.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.566.507.8717.39%15.25%15.38%12.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV -0.807%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%24.78%24.83%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.714.0028.57%26.96%26.95%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LDU Quito (Local): 61.23%; Mirassol (Visit): 13.97%; Draw: 24.80%. For Mirassol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.16. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.88%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.06%EV +9.95%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.144% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.12%EV +1.99%E +0.273%K +0.316%G +0.006% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -5.27%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.00%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -7.26%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.99%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -0.807%E -0.202%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.04%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.46%EV -0.804%E -0.113%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.58%EV -1.78%E -0.253%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.58%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.83%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -7.79%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.25%EV -12.44%E -8.70%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -11.98%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -7.75%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.15%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.78%EV -11.22%E -7.73%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -16.17%E -2.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |