Langue:Français
LDU Quito v Mirassol
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
LDU Quito (Local)
Prévision 61.23%1.63cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -6.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.61%61.24%61.32%63.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.521.531.5769.93%65.78%65.36%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Mirassol (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.97%7.16cote équitable
EV +9.95%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.144%
avec la cote maximale 7.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.06%13.98%13.85%15.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.566.507.8717.39%15.25%15.38%12.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.80%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.807%
Avantage -0.202%
Kelly -0.269%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.38%24.78%24.83%26.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.713.714.0028.57%26.96%26.95%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : LDU Quito (Local) : 61.23% ; Mirassol (Visiteur) : 13.97% ; Match nul : 24.80%. Pour Mirassol (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.16. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.87, soit une espérance positive de +9.95%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.88%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.06%EV +9.95%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.144% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.12%EV +1.99%E +0.273%K +0.316%G +0.006% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -5.27%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.00%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -7.26%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.99%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -0.807%E -0.202%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.04%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.46%EV -0.804%E -0.113%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.58%EV -1.78%E -0.253%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.58%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.83%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -7.79%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.25%EV -12.44%E -8.70%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -11.98%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -7.75%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.15%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.78%EV -11.22%E -7.73%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -16.17%E -2.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |