Idioma:Español
LDU Quito v Mirassol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
LDU Quito (Local)
Predicción 61.23%1.63momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -6.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.61%61.24%61.32%63.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.521.531.5769.93%65.78%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mirassol (Visitante)
Predicción 13.97%7.16momio equitativo
EV +9.95%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.144%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.06%13.98%13.85%15.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.756.566.507.8717.39%15.25%15.38%12.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.80%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.807%
Ventaja -0.202%
Kelly -0.269%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%24.78%24.83%26.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.713.714.0028.57%26.96%26.95%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: LDU Quito (Local): 61.23%; Mirassol (Visitante): 13.97%; Empate: 24.80%. Para Mirassol (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.16. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.95%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.88%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.06%EV +9.95%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.144% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.12%EV +1.99%E +0.273%K +0.316%G +0.006% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -5.27%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.00%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -7.26%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.99%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -0.807%E -0.202%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.04%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.46%EV -0.804%E -0.113%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.58%EV -1.78%E -0.253%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.58%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.83%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -7.79%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.25%EV -12.44%E -8.70%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -11.98%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -7.75%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.15%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.78%EV -11.22%E -7.73%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -16.17%E -2.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |