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LDU Quito v Mirassol
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
LDU Quito (Хозяева)
Прогноз 61.23%1.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.87%
Преимущество -2.46%
Kelly -6.79%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.57
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.61%61.24%61.32%63.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.431.521.531.5769.93%65.78%65.36%63.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Mirassol (Гости)
Прогноз 13.97%7.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.95%
Преимущество +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Рост +0.144%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.87
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.06%13.98%13.85%15.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.756.566.507.8717.39%15.25%15.38%12.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.80%4.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.807%
Преимущество -0.202%
Kelly -0.269%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.38%24.78%24.83%26.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.713.714.0028.57%26.96%26.95%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: LDU Quito (Хозяева): 61.23%; Mirassol (Гости): 13.97%; Ничья: 24.80%. Для исхода «Mirassol (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.16. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.87, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +9.95%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.88%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.06%EV +9.95%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.144% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.12%EV +1.99%E +0.273%K +0.316%G +0.006% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -5.27%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.00%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -7.26%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.99%EV +0.594%E +0.082%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -0.807%E -0.202%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.35%EV -0.524%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.50%EV -3.78%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.04%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.46%EV -0.804%E -0.113%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.58%EV -1.78%E -0.253%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.518%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.58%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.20%E -0.314%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.58%EV -4.99%E -0.735%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.69%E -0.843%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.83%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -7.79%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 21:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.25%EV -12.44%E -8.70%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -9.19%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.58%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -11.98%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -7.75%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.09%E -3.29%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.70%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.15%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.99%E -6.80%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.78%EV -11.22%E -7.73%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -12.68%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -16.17%E -2.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.64%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -18.97%E -3.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.66%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 21:55 |