Школа коэффициентов

LDU Quito v Lanus

Начало: 2026-05-21 00:30 UTC

Итог: LDU Quito 2–0 Lanus

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (12 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

LDU Quito (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.66%2.01справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.17%
Преимущество -1.63%
Kelly -3.34%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.28%49.64%49.78%51.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.861.851.9557.80%53.78%54.05%51.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Lanus (Гости)

Прогноз 21.92%4.56справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.92%
Преимущество +0.412%
Kelly +0.525%
Рост +0.010%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.20%21.99%21.84%23.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.264.254.6526.32%23.48%23.53%21.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.43%3.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.506%
Преимущество -0.145%
Kelly -0.202%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.24%28.37%28.39%29.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.61%30.77%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.821%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -0.713%E -0.158%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.96%EV -5.62%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:50
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:49
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:10
Suprabets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.54%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -7.33%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 00:20
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.77%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.38%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.84%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -7.90%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 00:09
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.17%E -1.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:19
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 00:20
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.88%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.25%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:00
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 23:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:19
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 23:40
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 23:50
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -14.10%E -8.15%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -18.13%E -6.30%K -9.64%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-21 00:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-21 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -15.62%E -4.06%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -8.63%E -4.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 23:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-05-21 00:20