A Escola das Odds

LDU Quito v Lanus

Início: 2026-05-21 00:30 UTC

Final: LDU Quito 2–0 Lanus

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

LDU Quito (Local)

Previsão 49.66%2.01odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -3.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.28%49.64%49.78%51.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.861.851.9557.80%53.78%54.05%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lanus (Visitante)

Previsão 21.92%4.56odd justa
EV +1.92%
Vantagem +0.412%
Kelly +0.525%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.20%21.99%21.84%23.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.264.254.6526.32%23.48%23.53%21.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.43%3.52odd justa
EV -0.506%
Vantagem -0.145%
Kelly -0.202%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.24%28.37%28.39%29.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.61%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.821%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -0.713%E -0.158%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.96%EV -5.62%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:50
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:49
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:10
Suprabets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.54%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -7.33%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 00:20
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.77%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.38%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.84%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -7.90%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 00:09
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.17%E -1.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:19
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 00:20
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.88%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.25%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:00
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 23:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:19
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 23:40
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 23:50
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -14.10%E -8.15%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -18.13%E -6.30%K -9.64%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-21 00:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-21 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -15.62%E -4.06%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -8.63%E -4.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-05-21 00:20