La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
LDU Quito v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
LDU Quito (Local)
Predicción 49.66%2.01momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.28%49.64%49.78%51.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.861.851.9557.80%53.78%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 21.92%4.56momio equitativo
EV +1.92%
Ventaja +0.412%
Kelly +0.525%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.20%21.99%21.84%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.264.254.6526.32%23.48%23.53%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.43%3.52momio equitativo
EV -0.506%
Ventaja -0.145%
Kelly -0.202%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.24%28.37%28.39%29.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.61%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.821%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -0.713%E -0.158%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.96%EV -5.62%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Suprabets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.54%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -7.33%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.77%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.38%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.84%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -7.90%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.17%E -1.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.88%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.25%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -14.10%E -8.15%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -18.13%E -6.30%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -15.62%E -4.06%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -8.63%E -4.69%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-20 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |