مدرسة الاحتمالات

LDU Quito v Lanus

البداية: 2026-05-21 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: LDU Quito 2–0 Lanus

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

LDU Quito (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.66%2.01السعر العادل
EV -3.17%
الأفضلية -1.63%
Kelly -3.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.28%49.64%49.78%51.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.861.851.9557.80%53.78%54.05%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lanus (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.92%4.56السعر العادل
EV +1.92%
الأفضلية +0.412%
Kelly +0.525%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.20%21.99%21.84%23.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.264.254.6526.32%23.48%23.53%21.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.43%3.52السعر العادل
EV -0.506%
الأفضلية -0.145%
Kelly -0.202%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.24%28.37%28.39%29.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.61%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.49%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.92%E +0.412%K +0.525%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.821%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -0.713%E -0.158%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.96%EV -5.62%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:50
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.506%E -0.145%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:49
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:10
Suprabets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.54%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -7.33%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 00:20
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.77%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.38%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.84%EV -3.06%E -0.899%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:40
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -7.90%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 00:09
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.17%E -1.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:19
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 00:20
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.88%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.25%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 23:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.35%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:00
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 23:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:19
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 23:40
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -5.65%E -2.98%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 23:50
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.54%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -14.10%E -8.15%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -18.13%E -6.30%K -9.64%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-21 00:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-21 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -15.62%E -4.06%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -8.63%E -4.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-05-21 00:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-05-21 00:20