Szkoła Kursów

Independiente Santa Fe v Peñarol Montevideo

Początek: 2026-04-10 02:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

44 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Independiente Santa Fe (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 44.31%2.26kurs godziwy
EV -3.40%
Przewaga -1.56%
Kelly -2.88%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.33%44.34%44.14%45.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.87%47.62%45.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Peñarol Montevideo (Goście)

Prognoza 24.58%4.07kurs godziwy
EV +0.528%
Przewaga +0.129%
Kelly +0.171%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.09

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.02%24.59%24.76%26.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.453.783.804.0928.99%26.44%26.32%24.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.11%3.21kurs godziwy
EV -2.00%
Przewaga -0.635%
Kelly -0.931%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.05%31.07%31.10%32.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.972.983.1536.36%33.71%33.56%31.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (44 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +0.528%E +0.129%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 01:50
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 01:55
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 01:55
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 01:45
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 01:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 01:35
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 01:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.46%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.91%E -0.737%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 01:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 01:50
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -7.91%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 01:50
Suprabets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.27%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 01:54
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.95%EV -3.85%E -1.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 13:24
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 01:45
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 01:49
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 01:50
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 01:50
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 01:45
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 01:55
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 01:50
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 01:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 01:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 01:45
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -7.34%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 01:49
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.78%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 00:01
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 01:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 00:35
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 01:33
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 01:35
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 08:54
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 08:54
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.83%E -3.77%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 01:34
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 01:45
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 01:45
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 01:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 21:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.45%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-10 01:45
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 01:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-10 01:50
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00%2.5%2026-04-10 01:50