La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Independiente Santa Fe v Peñarol Montevideo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Independiente Santa Fe (Casa)
Previsione 44.31%2.26quota equa
EV -3.40%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.33%44.34%44.14%45.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.87%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Peñarol Montevideo (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.58%4.07quota equa
EV +0.528%
Vantaggio +0.129%
Kelly +0.171%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.09
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.02%24.59%24.76%26.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.783.804.0928.99%26.44%26.32%24.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.11%3.21quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.635%
Kelly -0.931%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.05%31.07%31.10%32.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.972.983.1536.36%33.71%33.56%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +0.528%E +0.129%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.46%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.91%E -0.737%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 01:54 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -7.91%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.27%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 01:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.95%EV -3.85%E -1.77%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 01:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -7.34%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 01:49 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.78%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 00:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 01:33 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.83%E -3.77%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 01:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.45%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |