L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Independiente Santa Fe v Peñarol Montevideo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Prévision 44.31%2.26cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -2.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.33%44.34%44.14%45.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.87%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Peñarol Montevideo (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.58%4.07cote équitable
EV +0.528%
Avantage +0.129%
Kelly +0.171%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.02%24.59%24.76%26.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.783.804.0928.99%26.44%26.32%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.11%3.21cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.635%
Kelly -0.931%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.05%31.07%31.10%32.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.972.983.1536.36%33.71%33.56%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +0.528%E +0.129%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.46%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.91%E -0.737%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 01:54 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -7.91%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.27%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 01:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.95%EV -3.85%E -1.77%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 01:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -7.34%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 01:49 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.78%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 00:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 01:33 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.83%E -3.77%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 01:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.45%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |