مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Independiente Santa Fe v Peñarol Montevideo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Independiente Santa Fe (المضيف)
التنبؤ 44.31%2.26السعر العادل
EV -3.40%
الأفضلية -1.56%
Kelly -2.88%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.33%44.34%44.14%45.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.87%47.62%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Peñarol Montevideo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 24.58%4.07السعر العادل
EV +0.528%
الأفضلية +0.129%
Kelly +0.171%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.09
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.02%24.59%24.76%26.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.783.804.0928.99%26.44%26.32%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.11%3.21السعر العادل
EV -2.00%
الأفضلية -0.635%
Kelly -0.931%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.05%31.07%31.10%32.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.972.983.1536.36%33.71%33.56%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +0.528%E +0.129%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -2.00%E -0.635%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.46%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.91%E -0.737%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 01:54 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -7.91%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.27%EV -6.51%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 01:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.95%EV -3.85%E -1.77%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 13:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 01:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.89%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -7.34%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 01:49 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.78%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 00:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 01:33 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -7.29%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.83%E -3.77%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 01:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.11%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.67%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.40%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -10.71%E -3.73%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.45%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-10 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -9.78%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 01:50 |