Школа коэффициентов

Independiente Medellín v Flamengo-RJ

Начало: 2026-05-08 00:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (14 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Independiente Medellín (Хозяева)

Прогноз 22.49%4.45справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.19%
Преимущество +2.08%
Kelly +2.61%
Рост +0.266%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.64%22.36%22.64%24.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.654.294.224.9027.40%23.32%23.67%20.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Flamengo-RJ (Гости)

Прогноз 49.16%2.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.14%
Преимущество -2.12%
Kelly -4.35%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.89%49.41%49.06%53.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.711.851.851.9558.48%54.15%54.05%51.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.35%3.53справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.07%
Преимущество +0.574%
Kelly +0.795%
Рост +0.016%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.84%28.23%28.30%29.31%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.313.303.6033.33%30.23%30.30%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-08 00:20
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-08 00:19
1xBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV +7.94%E +1.65%K +2.09%G +0.166%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.40%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 00:20
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -13.97%E -7.98%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 00:25
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +5.69%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.088%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -12.49%E -7.02%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 00:16
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -15.94%E -9.32%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 00:24
LowVig.ag4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:55
BetOnline.ag4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:55
Pinnacle4.51I 22.17%NM 21.34%EV +1.42%E +0.315%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.86%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.81%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 00:20
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 00:09
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 00:20
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 00:24
GTbets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.46%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.98%EV -3.89%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 23:10
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:04
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 00:20
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.30%E -0.768%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.43%EV -7.09%E -3.75%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 00:24
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 23:15
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 23:14
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 23:15
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.51%E -6.39%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 00:20
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 00:24
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:25
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:25
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 00:25
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 00:24
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:18
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -14.95%E -8.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-07 23:59
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.85%EV -10.50%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 00:09
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 00:25
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -17.92%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.89%EV -9.54%E -5.19%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.69%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 00:24
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-05-08 00:25