Szkoła Kursów

Independiente Medellín v Flamengo-RJ

Początek: 2026-05-08 00:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

46 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Independiente Medellín (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 22.49%4.45kurs godziwy
EV +10.19%
Przewaga +2.08%
Kelly +2.61%
Wzrost +0.266%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.64%22.36%22.64%24.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.654.294.224.9027.40%23.32%23.67%20.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Flamengo-RJ (Goście)

Prognoza 49.16%2.03kurs godziwy
EV -4.14%
Przewaga -2.12%
Kelly -4.35%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.89%49.41%49.06%53.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.711.851.851.9558.48%54.15%54.05%51.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.35%3.53kurs godziwy
EV +2.07%
Przewaga +0.574%
Kelly +0.795%
Wzrost +0.016%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.84%28.23%28.30%29.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.313.303.6033.33%30.23%30.30%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-08 00:20
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-08 00:19
1xBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV +7.94%E +1.65%K +2.09%G +0.166%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.40%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 00:20
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -13.97%E -7.98%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 00:25
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +5.69%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.088%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -12.49%E -7.02%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 00:16
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -15.94%E -9.32%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 00:24
LowVig.ag4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:55
BetOnline.ag4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:55
Pinnacle4.51I 22.17%NM 21.34%EV +1.42%E +0.315%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.86%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.81%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 00:20
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 00:09
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 00:20
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 00:24
GTbets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.46%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.98%EV -3.89%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 23:10
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:04
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 00:20
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.30%E -0.768%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.43%EV -7.09%E -3.75%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 00:24
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 23:15
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 23:14
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 23:15
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.51%E -6.39%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 00:20
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 00:24
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:25
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:25
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 00:25
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 00:24
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:18
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -14.95%E -8.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-07 23:59
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.85%EV -10.50%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 00:09
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 00:25
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -17.92%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.89%EV -9.54%E -5.19%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.69%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 00:24
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-05-08 00:25