مدرسة الاحتمالات

Independiente Medellín v Flamengo-RJ

البداية: 2026-05-08 00:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Independiente Medellín (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.49%4.45السعر العادل
EV +10.19%
الأفضلية +2.08%
Kelly +2.61%
النمو +0.266%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.64%22.36%22.64%24.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.654.294.224.9027.40%23.32%23.67%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flamengo-RJ (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.16%2.03السعر العادل
EV -4.14%
الأفضلية -2.12%
Kelly -4.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.89%49.41%49.06%53.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.851.851.9558.48%54.15%54.05%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.35%3.53السعر العادل
EV +2.07%
الأفضلية +0.574%
Kelly +0.795%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.84%28.23%28.30%29.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.313.303.6033.33%30.23%30.30%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-08 00:20
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016%2.8%2026-05-08 00:19
1xBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV +7.94%E +1.65%K +2.09%G +0.166%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.40%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 00:20
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -13.97%E -7.98%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 00:25
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +5.69%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.088%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -12.49%E -7.02%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 00:16
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -15.94%E -9.32%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 00:24
LowVig.ag4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:55
BetOnline.ag4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:55
Pinnacle4.51I 22.17%NM 21.34%EV +1.42%E +0.315%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.86%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.81%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 00:20
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 00:09
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 00:20
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 00:24
GTbets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.46%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.98%EV -3.89%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 23:10
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:04
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 00:20
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.30%E -0.768%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.43%EV -7.09%E -3.75%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 00:24
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 23:15
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 23:14
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 23:15
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.51%E -6.39%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 00:20
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 00:24
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 00:24
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:25
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 00:25
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 00:25
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 00:24
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:18
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 00:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -14.95%E -8.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-07 23:59
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.85%EV -10.50%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 00:09
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 00:20
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 00:25
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -17.92%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.89%EV -9.54%E -5.19%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.69%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 00:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-08 00:25
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-05-08 00:25