La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente Medellín v Flamengo-RJ
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Medellín (Local)
Predicción 22.49%4.45momio equitativo
EV +10.19%
Ventaja +2.08%
Kelly +2.61%
Crecimiento +0.266%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.64%22.36%22.64%24.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.294.224.9027.40%23.32%23.67%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flamengo-RJ (Visitante)
Predicción 49.16%2.03momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -4.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.89%49.41%49.06%53.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.851.851.9558.48%54.15%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +0.574%
Kelly +0.795%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.84%28.23%28.30%29.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.6033.33%30.23%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV +10.19%E +2.08%K +2.61%G +0.266% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV +2.07%E +0.574%K +0.795%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV +7.94%E +1.65%K +2.09%G +0.166% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.40%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| Casumo | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -13.48%E -7.66%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -12.99%E -7.34%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV +6.82%E +1.43%K +1.82%G +0.124% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -13.97%E -7.98%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +5.69%E +1.21%K +1.54%G +0.088% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -12.49%E -7.02%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -0.769%E -0.220%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 00:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -15.44%E -8.98%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV +3.44%E +0.748%K +0.956%G +0.033% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -15.94%E -9.32%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +2.54%E +0.558%K +0.714%G +0.018% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.19%E -0.634%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.34%EV +1.42%E +0.315%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.86%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.81%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 00:09 |
| BetUS | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.070%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| GTbets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.46%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.98%EV -3.89%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 23:10 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 00:04 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -1.05%E -0.240%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.30%E -0.768%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.43%EV -7.09%E -3.75%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 23:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 23:14 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 23:15 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.55%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.51%E -6.39%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.48%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 00:19 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 00:18 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.10%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.05%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -14.95%E -8.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-07 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.85%EV -10.50%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -9.05%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:09 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.58%E -4.03%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -14.55%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.04%E -5.48%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -17.92%E -4.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.89%EV -9.54%E -5.19%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.69%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |