La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Independiente del Valle v Libertad Asuncion
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Independiente del Valle (Casa)
Previsione 70.69%1.41quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -2.84%
Kelly -10.73%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.61%70.60%70.69%72.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.16%76.05%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Libertad Asuncion (Trasferta)
Previsione 10.89%9.18quota equa
EV +8.94%
Vantaggio +0.894%
Kelly +0.993%
Crescita +0.089%
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.51%11.05%10.86%13.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.758.568.7510.0014.81%11.69%11.43%10.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 18.42%5.43quota equa
EV +1.29%
Vantaggio +0.234%
Kelly +0.286%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.01%18.35%18.45%20.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.205.085.055.5023.81%19.67%19.80%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +8.94%E +0.894%K +0.993%G +0.089% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -0.553%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.35%EV +0.880%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.61%EV +0.184%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.47%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -3.04%E -0.342%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:36 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.57%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.96%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.47%EV +1.10%E +0.201%K +0.246%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.59%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.66I 11.55%NM 11.09%EV -5.66%E -0.653%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.32%EV -3.50%E -0.668%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 19:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -8.49%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.56%EV -10.12%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 14:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.10%EV -17.20%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.61%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.76%EV -22.65%E -5.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-19 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.02%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.03%EV -19.38%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-19 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.40%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -21.02%E -2.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -26.46%E -3.92%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.24% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |