L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Independiente del Valle v Libertad Asuncion
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Prévision 70.69%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -2.84%
Kelly -10.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.61%70.60%70.69%72.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.16%76.05%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Libertad Asuncion (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.89%9.18cote équitable
EV +8.94%
Avantage +0.894%
Kelly +0.993%
Croissance +0.089%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.51%11.05%10.86%13.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.758.568.7510.0014.81%11.69%11.43%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.42%5.43cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.234%
Kelly +0.286%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.01%18.35%18.45%20.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.085.055.5023.81%19.67%19.80%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +8.94%E +0.894%K +0.993%G +0.089% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -0.553%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.35%EV +0.880%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.61%EV +0.184%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.47%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -3.04%E -0.342%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:36 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.57%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.96%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.47%EV +1.10%E +0.201%K +0.246%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.59%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.66I 11.55%NM 11.09%EV -5.66%E -0.653%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.32%EV -3.50%E -0.668%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 19:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -8.49%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.56%EV -10.12%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 14:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.10%EV -17.20%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.61%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.76%EV -22.65%E -5.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-19 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.02%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.03%EV -19.38%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-19 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.40%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -21.02%E -2.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -26.46%E -3.92%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.24% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |